Back to Journals » Breast Cancer: Targets and Therapy » Volume 17

Triple-Negative Breast Cancer on the Rise or…? [Letter]

Authors Lønning PE ORCID logo, Nikolaienko O ORCID logo, Knappskog S ORCID logo

Received 13 August 2025

Accepted for publication 27 August 2025

Published 25 September 2025 Volume 2025:17 Pages 875—876

DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/BCTT.S560499

Checked for plagiarism Yes

Editor who approved publication: Professor Robert Clarke



Per Eystein Lønning,1 Oleksii Nikolaienko,1,2 Stian Knappskog1,2

1Cancer Clinic, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway; 2Department of Clinical Science, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway

Correspondence: Per Eystein Lønning, Email [email protected]


View the original paper by Dr Agelidis and colleagues

A Response to Letter has been published for this article.


Dear editor

The recent review by Agelidis et al in the Journal1 discusses triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) epidemiology and therapy, two timely subjects. We are concerned about their statement regarding a rising incidence of TNBC. Among the two papers cited in relation to this statement, one2 confirms an increasing incidence of breast cancer (BC) in general among young women. The other3 reveals a contemporary trend for an increased incidence of estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) BC, particularly among young women, in the USA, contrasting with a non-significant trend for a reduced incidence of TNBC across all age groups. While trends in TNBC incidence may vary somewhat between studies, partly related to ethnicity,4,5 a consistent finding is that the increase in BC incidence mainly relates to ER+ disease among young as well as postmenopausal women, with limited or no increase in TNBC incidence for several decades.6–8 Taken together, these epidemiological findings strongly indicate different aetiologies for most TNBC and ER+ BCs.

While TNBC tumors present a certain heterogeneity in biological characteristics such as gene expression profiles, the majority reveal a basal-like gene expression profile and genomic signatures related to defects in homologous recombination repair (HRR), a characteristic of most BCs arising in women harboring pathogenic BRCA1 variants.9,10 Although a number of patients diagnosed with TNBC harbor germline pathogenic BRCA1 variants, and some pathogenic variants in BRCA2, the contribution from such germline variants and variants in other genes,11 as well as somatic mutations in BRCA1/2 or other genes involved in HRR,10,12 only explains a minor fraction of TNBCs carrying HRR defects (HRDs). However, recent evidence has shown 25–30% of TNBCs to harbor BRCA1 epimutations, ie, promoter hypermethylation,13,14 in most cases arising as clonal expansions from constitutional (prenatal, normal tissue) BRCA1 epimutations.14–17 While constitutional epimutations in other tumor-suppressor genes, eg, MLH1, have been recorded,18 these cases are rare. The fact that around 20% of all TNBC are associated with BRCA1 constitutional epimutations, and that these tumors reveal a genomic biology mirroring tumors arising in BRCA1 germline mutation carriers,13 establishes BRCA1 constitutional epimutations as a major underlying cause of TNBC. These findings raise the question of whether epimutations affecting other genes involved in HRR also cause TNBC. While some cases carrying constitutional epimutations in RAD51C have been described,19 the potential importance of this finding remains to be learned.

The different incidence trend between TNBC and ER+ BC may signal different biological mechanisms of carcinogenesis, a pivotal finding in understanding contemporary trends. Apart from BCs related to germline mutations, TNBC represents the only subtype for which a distinct underlying molecular cause, i.e. prenatal BRCA1 constitutional epimutations, has been identified. Whether these epimutations themselves are caused by internal cellular processes or external environmental factors remains to be learned. Similarly, the potential role of early epimutations in other genes remains to be explored. Addressing these questions may significantly expand our understanding of TNBC risk, biology, and, not least, therapy.

Disclosure

PE Lønning reports speakers’ honoraria from Illumina. S Knappskog reports speakers’ honoraria from Novartis and Pfizer, and project support from Illumina. The authors report no other conflicts of interest in this communication.

References

1. Agelidis A, Ter-Zakarian A, Jaloudi M. Triple-negative breast cancer on the rise: breakthroughs and beyond. Breast Cancer-Targets Ther. 2025;17:523–529. doi:10.2147/BCTT.S516125

2. Di Martino E, Smith L, Bradley SH, et al. Incidence trends for twelve cancers in younger adults-a rapid review. Br J Cancer. 2022;126(10):1374–1386. doi:10.1038/s41416-022-01704-x

3. Sung H, Jiang CX, Bandi P, et al. Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990 in the USA: an analysis of population-based cancer registry data. Lancet Public Health. 2024;9(8):e583–e93. doi:10.1016/S2468-2667(24)00156-7

4. Li NHY, Li CI. Incidence rate trends of breast cancer overall and by molecular subtype by race and ethnicity and age. JAMA Network Open. 2025;8(1):e2456142. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.56142

5. Giaquinto A, Sung H, Newman L, et al. Breast cancer statistics 2024. CA Cancer J Clin. 2024;74(6):477–495. doi:10.3322/caac.21863

6. Ogbenna BT, He X, Wu AH, et al. Healthy lifestyle index and breast cancer risk among postmenopausal women: the multiethnic cohort study. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2025;34(6):875–884. doi:10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-24-1181

7. Xu S, Murtagh S, Han YN, Wan F, Toriola AT. Breast cancer incidence among US women aged 20 to 49 years by race, stage, and hormone receptor status. JAMA Network Open. 2024;7(1):e2353331. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.53331

8. Valla M, Vatten LJ, Engstrom MJ, et al. Molecular subtypes of breast cancer: long-term incidence trends and prognostic differences. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2016;25(12):1625–1634. doi:10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-16-0427

9. Nik-Zainal S, Davies H, Staaf J, et al. Landscape of somatic mutations in 560 breast cancer whole-genome sequences. Nature. 2016;534:74. doi:10.1038/nature17676

10. Staaf J, Glodzik D, Bosch A, et al. Whole-genome sequencing of triple-negative breast cancers in a population-based clinical study. Nat Med. 2019;25(10):1526. doi:10.1038/s41591-019-0582-4

11. Hu CL, Hart SN, Gnanaolivu R, et al. A population-based study of genes previously implicated in breast cancer. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(5):440–451. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2005936

12. Yndestad S, Engebrethsen C, Herencia-Ropero A, et al. Homologous recombination deficiency across subtypes of primary breast cancer. JCO Precis Oncol. 2023;7. doi:10.1200/PO.23.00338

13. Glodzik D, Bosch A, Hartman J, et al. Comprehensive molecular comparison of BRCA1 hypermethylated and BRCA1 mutated triple negative breast cancers. Nat Commun. 2020;11(1):article3747,1–15. doi:10.1038/s41467-020-17537-2

14. Nikolaienko O, Eikesdal HP, Ognedal E, et al. Prenatal BRCA1 epimutations contribute significantly to triple-negative breast cancer development. Genome Med. 2023;15(1). doi:10.1186/s13073-023-01262-8

15. Lønning P, Nikolaienko O, Knappskog S. Constitutional BRCA1 epimutations: a key for understanding basal-like breast and high-grade serous ovarian cancer. Human Mutation. 2024;2024(art no 7353984):1–11. doi:10.1155/2024/7353984

16. Lønning PE, Nikolaienko O, Knappskog S. Constitutional epimutations: from rare events toward major cancer risk factors? JCO Precis Oncol. 2025;9:e2400746:1–12.

17. Lønning PE, Nikolaienko O, Pan K, et al. Constitutional BRCA1 methylation and risk of incident triple-negative breast cancer and high-grade serous ovarian cancer. JAMA Oncol. 2022;8(11):1579–1587. doi:10.1001/jamaoncol.2022.3846

18. Hitchins MP, Dámaso E, Alvarez R, et al. Constitutional MLH1 methylation is a major contributor to mismatch repair-deficient, MLH1-methylated colorectal cancer in patients aged 55 years and younger. J Natl Compr Cancer Netw. 2023;21(7):743. doi:10.6004/jnccn.2023.7020

19. Hansmann T, Pliushch G, Leubner M, et al. Constitutive promoter methylation of BRCA1 and RAD51C in patients with familial ovarian cancer and early-onset sporadic breast cancer. Human Mol Gene. 2012;21(21):4669–4679. doi:10.1093/hmg/dds308

Creative Commons License © 2025 The Author(s). This work is published and licensed by Dove Medical Press Limited. The full terms of this license are available at https://www.dovepress.com/terms and incorporate the Creative Commons Attribution - Non Commercial (unported, 4.0) License. By accessing the work you hereby accept the Terms. Non-commercial uses of the work are permitted without any further permission from Dove Medical Press Limited, provided the work is properly attributed. For permission for commercial use of this work, please see paragraphs 4.2 and 5 of our Terms.