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Preoperative Prognostic Nutrition Index as a Prognostic Indicator of Survival in Elderly Patients Undergoing Gastric Cancer Surgery

Authors Zhang X , Fang H, Zeng Z, Zhang K, Lin Z, Deng G, Deng W, Guan L, Wei X, Li X, Jiang L , Xu L

Received 27 April 2021

Accepted for publication 12 June 2021

Published 2 July 2021 Volume 2021:13 Pages 5263—5273


Checked for plagiarism Yes

Review by Single anonymous peer review

Peer reviewer comments 2

Editor who approved publication: Dr Chien-Feng Li

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Xiaonan Zhang,1,* Huimin Fang,1,* Zhigang Zeng,1 Kaijun Zhang,1 Zhanyi Lin,1,2 Gang Deng,1 Weiping Deng,1 Lichang Guan,1 Xuebiao Wei,1 Xinyi Li,2 Lei Jiang,1– 3 Lishu Xu1– 3

1Guangdong Provincial Geriatrics Institute, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, 510080, People’s Republic of China; 2School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510641, People’s Republic of China; 3The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, 510515, People’s Republic of China

*These authors contributed equally to this work

Correspondence: Lei Jiang; Lishu Xu Tel +86-20-83827812
; +86-20-13660032429
Email [email protected]; [email protected]

Purpose: Gastric cancer is a common tumor type associated with nutritional and immune status. The aim of the current study was to investigate the prognostic value of a preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI), composed of nutritional factors and immune factors in elderly patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery.
Patients and Methods: A total of 454 patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery were divided into two groups based on preoperative PNI scores: ≤ 45.1 (n = 307) and > 45.1 (n = 147). Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Log rank tests. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify independent prognostic factors using a Cox proportional hazards model.
Results: According to the X-tile program, the optimal cutoff value for predicting overall survival (OS) with the PNI was 45.1. The receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that PNI exhibited 70.6% sensitivity and 56.5% specificity for predicting death during long-term follow-up. The cumulative incidence of postoperative 4-year mortality indicated that the risk of death increased significantly for PNI ≤ 45.1. In multivariate analysis, preoperative PNI was a significant independent predictor of mortality. In the age-stratified subgroup analysis, preoperative PNI was more sensitive for the old elderly subgroup than for the young elderly subgroup.
Conclusion: Preoperative PNI is a sensitive and specific prognostic predictor among elderly patients undergoing gastric cancer surgery.

Keywords: elderly patients, gastric cancer, prognostic nutritional index, radical gastrectomy


Gastric cancer is one of the most common tumors with the second-highest mortality rate among cancer types.1 The overall aging of the population has become a contributing factor to the high incidence of gastric cancer and associated mortality among older individuals.2,3 Surgery has been the most effective treatment method for gastric cancer, but the postoperative prognosis is poor in elderly patients. In a previous study, fatal complications resulting in postoperative death were observed among elderly patients, and the mortality rate was significantly higher in an older group than in a younger group (0% vs 5.7%).4 Han et al5 reported that the postoperative complication rate among older patients who underwent major thoracic and abdominal surgery was 25.71%, which increased to 59.38% among elderly patients characterized by frailty. Many indicators have been examined in efforts to better predict poor prognoses, such as α-fetoprotein, red blood cell distribution width, platelet distribution width, and total iron-binding capacity.6,7 The predictive values of these indicators among elderly individuals have been verified in some studies, but they remain controversial.8

Malnutrition is common among hospitalized patients but typically remains underdiagnosed, especially in elderly patients.9 Malnutrition has been associated with poor prognosis and is an independent risk factor for nosocomial infections. Malnutrition is also associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications and poor wound healing.10 Accordingly, the nutritional assessment of cancer patients is receiving increased attention. Commonly used nutritional screening and assessment tools, such as Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT), Malnutrition Universal Screening Tools (MUST), Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA), and Subjective Global Assessment (SGA), are complex and difficult to use in clinical practice. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) was first designed by Buzby et al,11 based on serum albumin concentration and peripheral blood lymphocyte count. Compared with conventional nutritional screening tools, the PNI is a simple, objective, and operable index that reflects both immune status and nutritional status.12

The PNI has recently been used to evaluate the prognoses of cancer patients and exhibited reliable prognostic significance in advanced cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy.13 Nutritional status and immune function changes tend to occur during the aging process. Accordingly, the predictive value of the PNI may differ among older patients in different age groups. However, to date, no study has investigated the clinical application of the PNI in older patients with surgically resectable gastric carcinoma. The current study was performed as a retrospective analysis to investigate the prognostic value of preoperative PNI among older patients scheduled for gastric cancer surgery.

Patients and Methods


The current retrospective study included patients who were diagnosed with gastric cancer and underwent gastrectomy at Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital in China from January 2010 to December 2017. The inclusion criteria were: (1) age ≥60 years; (2) gastric carcinoma confirmed via histology; (3) underwent radical gastrectomy; (4) did not undergo neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy before surgery; and (5) no distant metastasis was detected via imaging. The exclusion criteria were: (1) the inability to tolerate surgery due to severe liver and kidney dysfunction; (2) other malignant tumors and end-stage diseases; and (3) a lack of peripheral blood lymphocyte count or serum albumin data within 1 week prior to the operation. The tumor, node, metastasis (TNM) stage was classified based on the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system.14 Gastrectomy and lymph node dissections were conducted in accordance with the Japanese Gastric Cancer Treatment Guidelines (Version 3).15 A total of 467 elderly gastric cancer patients were screened, of which 13 lacked preoperative PNI-related data and were excluded from the cohort. The remaining 454 patients were enrolled in the study (Figure 1). The study was approved by the Research Ethics Committee of Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences (Approval number GDREC 2020023H), conducted in accordance with the declaration of Helsinki, and written informed consent was obtained from each patient.

Figure 1 Flow diagram of the included population. A total of 467 elderly gastric cancer patients were screened, of which 13 lacked preoperative PNI-related data and were excluded from the cohort. The remaining 454 patients were enrolled in the study.

Data Collection and Definitions

The patients’ clinical characteristics, treatment parameters, pathological data, and laboratory data were obtained from medical records. Data used to calculate preoperative PNI scores were obtained within 1 week prior to surgery. PNI scores were calculated via the following formula:

PNI score = 10 × serum albumin value (g/dL) + 0.005 × peripheral lymphocyte count per mm3

Subgroup analysis was performed in the current study to assess whether the prognostic accuracy of the PNI varied with age. Patients aged from 60 to 74 years were classified as the young elderly subgroup, and those aged ≥75 years were classified as the old elderly subgroup. These subgroups were classified according to recommendations issued by the World Health Organization.16

Follow-Up and Endpoint

Postoperative follow-up included annual clinical and laboratory examinations until the end of the follow-up period or until the patient’s death, whichever came first. The follow-up period was terminated in September 2019. The median follow-up calculated was 3 years. The longest follow-up for patients enrolled in 2010 was 9 years, and the longest follow-up among patients enrolled in 2017 was 2 years. The primary endpoints were in-hospital mortality and all-cause mortality. Overall survival (OS) was defined as the time from surgery to death or the last follow-up and was used as a measure of prognosis.

Statistical Analysis

X-tile 3.6.1 software was used to determine the optimal cutoff value for PNI to predict OS. Continuous variables are represented as the mean ± standard deviation and were compared using Student’s t-test. Categorical variables are represented as the number and percentage and were compared using the Chi-square test. Univariate analysis was performed to identify factors associated with survival. Variables with p < 0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis, which was conducted using a Cox proportional hazards model to identify independent prognostic factors. Predictive values were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) method. Statistical analyses were conducted using SPSS 26.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) and JMP software for Windows, version 11 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA). All tests were two-sided, and p < 0.05 was considered significant.


Optimal PNI Cutoff Value

X-tile software was used to determine the optimal PNI value for the whole group. According to Figure 2A, D, and G, PNI is positively associated with prognosis. The optimal value of 45.1, 43.1 and 41.04 for the whole group, the young elderly subgroup and the old elderly subgroup, respectively, was identified from the minimum P-value according to OS (Figure 2B, E, and H). In addition, the OS corresponding to the cutoff values of the whole group, young and old group and old group is shown in Figure 2C, F, and I. In the subsequent analysis, patients were divided into low-PNI (≤45.1) and high-PNI (>45.1) groups according to the PNI score before radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer. In subgroup analysis, the young elderly group patients were divided into low PNI group (≤43.1) and high PNI group (>43.1). Correspondingly, the old elderly group was divided into low PNI group (≤43.1) and high PNI group (>41.04).

Figure 2 The optimal cutoff value of PNI. The optimal cutoff value of PNI was determined by X-tile software (Yale University, New Haven, CT), using overall survival as the primary outcome in patients from the training cohort. (A, D, and G) The coloring of the plot represents the strength of the association, ranging from low (dark, black) to high (green or red). Indirect associations between factor expression and survival are colored red, whereas positive associations are colored green. (B, E, and H) The histogram shows the optimal cutoff point for the whole group, the young elderly subgroup, and the old elderly subgroup. (C, F, and I) Kaplan–Meier curve corresponding to the cutoff point for the whole group, the young elderly subgroup, and the old elderly subgroup.

Baseline Clinical Characteristics

The baseline clinical characteristics of the 454 gastric carcinoma patients who underwent gastrectomy are shown in Table 1. The study population included 315 (69.4%) men and 139 (30.6%) women, with a median age of 71 years. The whole group of patients were separated into high-PNI (n = 307) and low-PNI groups (n = 147) based on the optimal PNI cutoff value (45.1). The associations between preoperative PNI value and clinical characteristics in these two groups are summarized in Table 1.

Table 1 Clinical Characteristics of the Low- and High-PNI Groups (n = 454)

No significant differences in sex, smoker status, creatinine level, white blood cell count, past medical history, or the total gastrectomy rate were observed between the two groups. The low-PNI group was significantly older than the high-PNI group. In the low-PNI group, leukomonocyte count, red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and albumin were significantly lower than the corresponding values in the high-PNI group. No significant difference in the in-hospital mortality rate was observed between the two groups, but a significant difference in long-term follow-up was identified. Significant differences in operation mode, tumor metastasis, tumor size, and TNM stage were also observed between the two groups (Table 1).

Prognostic Value of Preoperative PNI in Gastric Cancer Patients Undergoing Surgery

The relationships between preoperative PNI values and survival outcomes are presented in Figure 3B. In the Kaplan–Meier analysis, survival differed significantly between the low- and high-PNI groups. The log Log rank test revealed that patients in the low-PNI group had a significantly poorer prognosis than those in the high-PNI group (χ2 = 25.790, p < 0.001; Figure 3B). The median survival time of patients in the low-PNI group was 4 years.

Figure 3 Survival analysis based on PNI level. ROC curves for postoperative survival and Kaplan–Meier curves of postoperative survival based on PNI levels. (A and B) represent the whole group. (C and D) represent the young elderly subgroup (60 years ≥ age >74 years). (E and F) represent the old elderly subgroup (age ≥75 years).

The univariate analysis revealed that a high PNI value was associated with longer OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.391; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.652–3.461; P ≤ 0.001), as shown in Table 2. In contrast, age ≥75 years, anemia, suffering from coronary heart disease, metastases, larger tumor size, undergoing total gastrectomy, and worse TNM stage were correlated with shorter OS. Multivariate analysis indicated that PNI > 45.1 was a negative independent prognostic factor for OS (HR: 1.685, 95% CI: 1.120–2.534, P = 0.012, Table 2). In addition, age ≥75 years, anemia, suffering from coronary heart disease, metastases, larger tumor size, undergoing total gastrectomy, and worse TNM stage were all identified as independent predictors of poor OS among elderly patients who underwent radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer.

Table 2 Univariate and Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazard of Long-Term Mortality

The prognostic capacity of preoperative PNI was calculated using ROC curve analysis and the calculation of the area under the curve (AUC). The AUC of PNI for the whole group was 0.687 (95% CI: 0.636–0.739, p < 0.001), which exhibited 70.6% sensitivity and 56.5% specificity (Figure 3A).

Prognostic Value of Preoperative PNI for Different Age Subgroups

The Kaplan–Meier survival curve and Log rank test indicated that preoperative PNI was significantly associated with prognosis for both the young elderly group (χ2 = 22.704, p < 0.001) and the old elderly group (χ2 = 4.599, p = 0.032; Figure 3D and F). The median survival time for the low-PNI young elderly subgroup was 4 years, whereas the median survival time for the low-PNI old elderly subgroup was 2 years. The median survival times for the high-PNI subgroups in both age categories were >50%. In the Cox proportional hazards model for the two age-based subgroups, preoperative PNI was identified as an independent prognostic indicator of gastric cancer mortality (Table 3).

Table 3 Multivariate Cox Proportional Hazard of Long-Term Mortality According to Subgroup

In the ROC curve analysis, the AUC value for preoperative PNI for the old elderly subgroup was 0.704 (95% CI: 0.615–0.794, p < 0.001), which was significantly higher than the estimated AUC value of 0.669 for the young elderly subgroup (95% CI: 0.605–0.733, p < 0.001) (Figure 3C and E). As a prognostic indicator, preoperative PNI was more sensitive for the older elderly subgroup than for the younger elderly subgroup.


In the present study, preoperative PNI was identified as a significant independent predictor of poor prognosis among elderly patients with gastric cancer after radical gastrectomy. In the subgroup analysis, the diagnostic capacity of preoperative PNI was found to be sensitive for the subgroup of patients ≥75 years than for the subgroup aged 60–74 years. Therefore, we speculate that the preoperative PNI score may be a useful prognostic indicator among elderly patients undergoing radical gastrectomy, particularly those aged ≥75 years.

In recent years, the broader tumor environment, especially factors associated with the nutritional and inflammatory status of patients, has become a focus of cancer research. Nutritional status plays an important role in the prognosis of cancer patients, especially older patients. Albumin is a recognized nutritional parameter that has been significantly associated with the prognosis of gastric cancer patients,12 and patients with gastrointestinal cancer often suffer from malabsorption, leading to hypoalbuminemia. Hypoproteinemia is also considered an indicator of malnutrition and cachexia. Patients with gastrointestinal cancer are likely to suffer from abdominal distension, vomiting, dysphagia, and other symptoms, such as gastrointestinal obstruction, which may further aggravate hypoproteinemia.18 Systemic chronic inflammation, which may be caused by chronic oxidative stress and free radical production, is closely associated with tumor development, proliferation, metastasis, and poor prognosis in various types of cancer.19–21 T- and B-lymphocytes and neutrophils, which are markers of systemic inflammation, play prominent roles in tumor inflammation and immunity and are major predictors of survival.22,23 The combination of malnutrition and an impaired immune system appear to promote tumor development, and malnutrition is associated with an increased risk of complications and reduced tolerance to anticancer treatments.24 The PNI is based on serum albumin levels and total lymphocyte counts,11 reflecting both nutritional and immunological status and serving as a satisfactory immune-nutritional marker.17

The PNI is a simple and easy index for evaluating the nutritional status of cancer patients and has demonstrated value for predicting the prognosis of various malignant tumors. The role of PNI scores for predicting the outcomes of chemotherapy24 and surgery among cancer patients has been demonstrated.25–27 Murakami et al28 proposed that the PNI could serve as a predictor of complications after gastrointestinal surgery, and a PNI score >45 was associated with increased complications following gastrointestinal surgery. Tei et al29 reported that the PNI had postoperative predictive among elderly patients with colorectal cancer. In the current study, separate Cox multivariate analyses were performed for continuous and categorical variables. Tumor size, tumor metastasis, and preoperative PNI were identified as independent prognostic indicators among elderly patients with gastric cancer who underwent radical gastrectomy, which is consistent with previous reports.

Ever since the PNI was first introduced, many studies have assessed the applicability of the PNI to evaluate prognoses in patients with gastrointestinal cancer; however, the predictive sensitivities and values have differed across studies, which may be related to differences in the ages of study populations. With increasing age, the nutritional status and immune function of the human body can decline, and even within the elderly population, larger reductions may occur in those with older ages. According to the global aging report released by the World Health Organization, a significant difference in function can be observed between those younger than 75 years old and those older than 75 years. Individuals older than 75 years old have significantly reduced ability to perform activities of daily living than those younger than 75 years.30 Noh et al31 reported that the risk of injury among individuals older than 75 years was significantly higher than that among individuals younger than 75 years. A study from France reported that individuals 75 and older were more likely than younger cohorts to present with symptoms of senile syndrome, such as weakness, cognitive impairment, urinary incontinence, and malnutrition.32 To verify the predictive value of PNI in different age groups, an age-based subgroup analysis was conducted in the present study. All enrolled patients were divided into a young elderly subgroup and an old elderly subgroup, using 75 years as the cutoff. In that analysis, the AUC of preoperative PNI in the old elderly subgroup is bigger than that for the young elderly subgroup, indicating that the predictive sensitivity of preoperative PNI was significantly higher among the old elderly patients than for the young elderly patients within the overall group of elderly patients.

Malnutrition is a risk factor for morbidity and mortality in critical care and surgical patients, and more surgical comorbidities have been identified in elderly patients than in younger patients.32 Elderly patients with gastric cancer have high incidences of comorbidities and postoperative complications due to generally reduced functional reserve capacity.33 Therefore, surgeons often face a dilemma when contemplating radical gastrectomy in elderly patients with gastric cancer, especially those aged >75 years. Not all elderly patients are refused surgery because of the potential surgical risks and poor prognosis, and some elderly patients can benefit from surgery. In the current study, low preoperative PNI scores were associated with poorer prognoses among elderly patients with gastric cancer, whereas high preoperative PNI scores were associated with benefits from radical surgery. The PNI is a cheap and simple biomarker that can effectively predict the prognoses of elderly patients with gastric cancer after radical surgery and could assist surgeons when deciding whether to perform radical surgery in elderly patients. However, a low preoperative PNI score does not necessarily render the patient unsuitable for radical surgery. Active perioperative nutritional interventions, immunotherapy, meticulous care, and close follow-up may improve prognoses, although these factors require further investigation.

The present study had several limitations. The retrospective design imparts inherent limitations, and the inclusion of patients from a single center may have introduced selection bias. Another limitation is that the presence of inflammation was not assessed, and patients’ inflammatory states may have affected both serum albumin levels and lymphocyte counts.


Among elderly patients with gastric cancer, a low PNI score is an independent predictor of poor prognosis after radical gastrectomy. Preoperative PNI is a convenient, inexpensive, and reliable marker that can be used as a screening and prognostic indicator among elderly gastric cancer patients, particularly those aged ≥75 years. PNI may also constitute a basis for surgical selection and serve as a reference for perioperative management.


This study was supported by the National Key R&D Program of China [grant number 2018YFC2000301]; National Natural Science Foundation [grant no. 81800262]; Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangzhou [grant numbers 202002030101 and 201903010005]; Medical Science and Technology Research Fund Project of Guangdong [grant number 202051422855320]; and the High-level Hospital Construction Project [grant number DFJH2020002].


The authors report no conflicts of interest in this work.


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