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Overall survival of glasdegib in combination with low-dose cytarabine, azacitidine, and decitabine among adult patients with previously untreated AML: comparative effectiveness using simulated treatment comparisons

Authors Tremblay G, Westley T, Cappelleri JC, Arondekar B, Chan G, Bell TJ, Briggs A

Received 30 January 2019

Accepted for publication 25 July 2019

Published 6 September 2019 Volume 2019:11 Pages 551—565

DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/CEOR.S203482

Checked for plagiarism Yes

Review by Single-blind

Peer reviewer comments 2

Editor who approved publication: Professor Giorgio Lorenzo Colombo


Gabriel Tremblay1, Tracy Westley1, Joseph C Cappelleri2, Bhakti Arondekar2, Geoffrey Chan2, Timothy J Bell2, Andrew Briggs3

1Purple Squirrel Economics, New York, NY, USA; 2Pfizer Inc, New York, NY, USA; 3William R Lindsay Chair of Health Economics, Health Economics and Technology Assessment, Institute of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK

Correspondence: Gabriel Tremblay
Purple Squirrel Economics, 4 Lexington Avenue, Suite 15K, New York, NY 10010, USA
Tel +1 646 478 8213
Email gabrieltremblay@pshta.com

Background: Until recently, treatments for older patients with AML ineligible to receive intensive chemotherapies were limited to hypomethylating agents, low-dose cytarabine (LDAC), or clinical trials. In 2018, the FDA approved combination glasdegib (GLAS) plus LDAC based on Phase II results demonstrating improved overall survival (OS) versus LDAC alone in previously untreated AML. However, no randomized clinical trials have directly compared GLAS + LDAC with other AML treatments.
Objective: Using both indirect treatment comparison (ITC) and simulated treatment comparison (STC), which adjusts for baseline differences between trials, the comparative effectiveness of GLAS + LDAC was compared with hypomethylating agent azacitidine (AZA) or decitabine (DEC).
Methods: A systematic literature review identified published trials of AZA or DEC versus LDAC among older AML patients ineligible for high-intensity chemotherapy. In addition to standard and covariate-adjusted ITC, STC was performed following guidance from the NICE Decision Support Unit (DSU). Using individual patient data from the Phase II GLAS + LDAC study, population-specific OS hazard ratios (HR) for GLAS + LDAC versus AZA or DEC were compared. Furthermore, covariate-adjusted ITC (Cox multivariate models) and STC were repeated using GLAS + LDAC versus LDAC data propensity-weighted for within-trial mean cytogenetic risk. As this initial step was not specified in the DSU, results from this second method were compared to the first STC following DSU guidance only.
Results: Standard ITC and STC both demonstrated significantly improved OS for GLAS + LDAC versus either AZA or DEC. Adjusting for key covariates, STC stepwise exponential models demonstrated GLAS + LDAC superiority to both AZA (HR=0.424; 95% CI: 0.228, 0.789) and DEC (HR=0.505; 95% CI: 0.269, 0.949). These significant results held using full or step-wise approaches, following DSU guidance only or the weighted STC approach.
Conclusion: Using ITC and STC, GLAS + LDAC demonstrated superior OS to AZA or DEC in an adult population with previously untreated AML for whom intensive chemotherapy is not an option.

Keywords: acute myeloid leukemia, simulated treatment comparison, indirect treatment comparison, glasdegib, comparative effectiveness
 

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